Ukraine, Hormuz and the New Meaning of European Energy Security
Editorial image generated by the author. Wars are terrible ways to discover that an economic system contains a design flaw. Europe has been forced to learn two versions of the same energy lesson in four years. Ukraine exposed the danger of depending on the wrong supplier. The conflict around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz exposes the vulnerability that remains even after better suppliers are found. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine demonstrated how dependence on a hostile state for essential energy could become a strategic liability almost overnight. Europe responded by cutting Russian imports, buying gas elsewhere, building LNG infrastructure and accelerating investment in renewables, grids, efficiency and electrification. Hormuz presents a different problem. Much of the oil and gas passing through the strait comes from states that have no intention of using energy as a weapon against Europe, yet a regional conflict can still interrupt supply and drive up prices thousands of kilometres...